According to Edward Dowd, the 10-year and 30-year treasury yields have been decreasing since mid-January, anticipating an economic slowdown. The current scenario is described as a 'sell the news' event for bond prices, with expectations of yields continuing to decline throughout the year as economic activity slows down.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the current market situation indicates a significant decline in various asset classes. Stocks are experiencing a downturn reminiscent of trade war conditions, while the US Dollar is depreciating as if trade tensions have eased. Cryptocurrency markets are also witnessing a decline, suggestive of a renewed bear market, and Treasury yields are dropping as though interest rate cuts are imminent. These movements are critical for traders to consider potential shifts in market strategies, especially with the simultaneous decline in oil prices.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the current market situation shows a decline across various asset classes. Stocks are experiencing a downturn reminiscent of trade war tensions, while the US Dollar declines as if trade tensions have eased. Cryptocurrencies are falling, indicating a potential new bear market phase. Additionally, Treasury yields are decreasing as though interest rate cuts are being anticipated, and oil prices are also on the decline. These movements suggest significant shifts in market dynamics that traders should monitor closely.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the current market situation shows significant declines across various sectors. Stocks are experiencing a downturn reminiscent of heightened trade war tensions, while the US Dollar is weakening, suggesting a potential end to trade conflicts. In the cryptocurrency market, values are dropping as if a new bear market phase has begun. Additionally, Treasury yields are decreasing, indicating anticipation of possible rate cuts.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the current market scenario reveals significant declines across multiple sectors. Stocks are experiencing a downturn similar to the onset of a trade war, indicating potential investor concerns over geopolitical tensions. The US Dollar's drop suggests market sentiments are shifting towards a resolution of previous trade conflicts, affecting currency valuations. In the cryptocurrency market, a sharp decline is observed, akin to a bear market initiation, which could influence trading strategies towards risk management. Additionally, falling Treasury yields hint at potential expectations of interest rate cuts, impacting bond market strategies. Lastly, declining oil prices suggest broader economic concerns, affecting energy sector investments.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the financial markets are experiencing a significant downturn, with stocks, the US Dollar, cryptocurrencies, treasury yields, and oil prices all declining. This situation is reminiscent of a returning trade war, a bear market inception, and potential rate cuts. Traders should closely monitor these trends for strategic adjustments in portfolios.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US government's balance sheet reveals a stark $39.8 trillion gap between its $45.5 trillion in liabilities and $5.7 trillion in assets. This significant discrepancy highlights potential fiscal challenges that could affect bond markets and monetary policy. Analysts suggest monitoring Treasury yields and federal funding rates for potential trading opportunities as these financial metrics reflect government borrowing costs and investor sentiment. Source: The Kobeissi Letter.

According to @KobeissiLetter, foreign holdings of US Treasuries experienced a significant decline of $49.7 billion in December 2024, marking the largest drop since March 2021. This follows a $30.0 billion reduction in November, indicating a continued trend of foreign investors divesting from US federal debt. This consecutive selling trend could impact USD liquidity and influence Treasury yields, which are crucial for traders monitoring interest rate movements.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, gold prices have increased by approximately 24% since late July, while the US Dollar and 10-year Treasury note yields have risen by about 2% and 8% respectively. This unusual concurrent rise, despite their typical inverse correlation, suggests unique market dynamics that traders should closely monitor for potential shifts in asset correlations and investment strategies.

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst), the 2-year/10-year Treasury yields curve is the most critical reference data for tracking Bitcoin and stock market trends. This indicator is prioritized over the Dollar Index, which is considered second in importance. This insight is crucial for traders focusing on macroeconomic indicators to predict market movements.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin has taken liquidity amid positive unemployment data, with treasury yields at a tipping point indicating potential upward trends in the coming weeks.